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Why Smart Founders Build 3 Financial Forecasts (Not Just 1) ๐Ÿ“ˆ

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Most founders build ONE rosy forecast. Smart founders build THREE.

Here's the 3-Scenario Framework that turns uncertainty into your competitive advantage:

๐ŸŽฏ Base Case → Current trajectory, real metrics, no surprises
๐Ÿš€ Aggressive Case → Growth accelerates (but stay grounded in reality)
๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Protection Case → Delays happen, costs spike, churn rises

๐Ÿ’ก The Game-Changer: Stress-Test Every Decision

Hiring 5 engineers this quarter?

  • Base case: โœ… Runway looks good

  • Revenue drops 15%: โŒ You're suddenly in survival mode

Run every major decision through all three scenarios. No more startup whiplash.

 

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Investor Hack

Showing worst-case scenarios makes you look strategic, not weak.

"We've prepared for whichever way this breaks, and we know exactly how we'll respond."

โš ๏ธ Don't Do This:

Build scenarios once and forget them 

  • Over-engineer the model 

  • Use fantasy revenue goals

โฑ๏ธ The Bottom Line

3 hours to build. Monthly updates. Real decisions.

Because the worst time to build Plan B is when Plan A is already on fire. ๐Ÿ”ฅ

Ready to stop flying blind? Build your 3-scenario model this week and watch your confidence soar when uncertainty hits.

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